Value bet: Villarreal II to win @ 2.40 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVillarreal II to win ✓48% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.66
Villarreal II vs Eldense preview and prediction
The match
Villarreal II host Eldense in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Wednesday 4 March, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Villarreal II and 1.0 for Eldense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villarreal II 48%, draw 23%, Eldense 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Villarreal II to win at 2.40 – 48% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Villarreal II 1–1 Eldense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villarreal II48%fair 2.07 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @2.95
Eldense28%fair 3.51 · @2.90
2.72Expected goals
1.75Villarreal II xG
0.97Eldense xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Villarreal II 1.8 – 1.0 Eldense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Villarreal II
Eldense
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+44%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+5%
Our expected goals here
2.49
1.02
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal II to win✓
48%
2.07
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal II / FT Villarreal II✓
35%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.66
–
Form
Villarreal II – last 1
W
20 Feb
@ Real Betis II
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Eldense – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Alcorcon
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal II and Eldense.
What is the prediction for Villarreal II vs Eldense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Villarreal II vs Eldense?
On our numbers Villarreal II have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Eldense 28%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal II vs Eldense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal II vs Eldense?
Our predicted score is Villarreal II 1–1 Eldense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Villarreal II vs Eldense?
Villarreal II vs Eldense (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
