Value bet: Magesi to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMagesi to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceMagesi or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.33
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 4.97
Magesi vs Richards Bay preview and prediction
The match
Magesi host Richards Bay in the Premier Soccer League on Saturday 23 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Seshego Stadium.
Form guide
Magesi's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Orbit College 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Richards Bay's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Polokwane City 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.3 for Magesi and 0.6 for Richards Bay. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Magesi 57%, draw 26%, Richards Bay 18%.
Safer route: Magesi or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.33.
Value angle: Magesi to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Magesi 1–0 Richards Bay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Magesi57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.84
Richards Bay18%fair 5.62 · @4.90
1.87Expected goals
1.31Magesi xG
0.56Richards Bay xG
42%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
0–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Magesi 1.3 – 0.6 Richards Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Magesi to win✓
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Magesi or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.90
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.06
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Magesi / FT Magesi✗
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
20%
4.97
–
Form
Magesi – last 6
LDLWDL
5 May
vs Orbit College
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ TS Galaxy
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Kaizer Chiefs
1–4
L
7 Apr
vs Marumo Gallants
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Amazulu
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Polokwane City
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Richards Bay – last 6
DWDWLL
6 May
vs Polokwane City
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ TS Galaxy
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Orlando Pirates
2–2
D
7 Apr
vs Stellenbosch
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Durban City
0–1
L
11 Mar
@ Orlando Pirates
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Magesi and Richards Bay.
What is the prediction for Magesi vs Richards Bay?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Magesi vs Richards Bay?
On our numbers Magesi have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Richards Bay 18%.
How many goals will there be in Magesi vs Richards Bay?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Magesi vs Richards Bay?
Our predicted score is Magesi 1–0 Richards Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Magesi vs Richards Bay?
Magesi vs Richards Bay (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Seshego Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Orbit College0