Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw ✓84% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.41
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City preview and prediction
The match
Mamelodi Sundowns host Polokwane City in the Premier Soccer League on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Loftus Versfeld Stadium. Mamelodi Sundowns are 1st with 26 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Polokwane City sit 11th on 8 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mamelodi Sundowns's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Polokwane City 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Polokwane City's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Mamelodi Sundowns 0–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Polokwane City 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.6 for Polokwane City. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mamelodi Sundowns 67%, draw 17%, Polokwane City 16%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Mamelodi Sundowns 1–0 Polokwane City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mamelodi Sundowns67%fair 1.50 · @1.28
Draw17%fair 5.90 · @4.65
Polokwane City16%fair 6.18 · @14.00
2.16Expected goals
1.61Mamelodi Sundowns xG
0.56Polokwane City xG
46%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Mamelodi Sundowns 1.6 – 0.6 Polokwane City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?
On our numbers Mamelodi Sundowns have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Polokwane City 16%.
How many goals will there be in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?
Our predicted score is Mamelodi Sundowns 1–0 Polokwane City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Versfeld Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
