Value bet: Durban City to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSiwelele to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.25
Siwelele vs Durban City preview and prediction
The match
Durban City travel to Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium in the Premier Soccer League on Tuesday 5 May (18:30 WAT) to face Siwelele. Siwelele are 14th with 6 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Durban City sit 13th on 7 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Siwelele's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Kaizer Chiefs 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Durban City's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Orbit College 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Siwelele and 1.0 for Durban City. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Siwelele 41%, draw 27%, Durban City 32%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Durban City to win at 3.50 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Siwelele 1–0 Durban City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Siwelele41%fair 2.42 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.88
Durban City32%fair 3.17 · @3.50
1.99Expected goals
1.01Siwelele xG
0.98Durban City xG
47%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Siwelele 1.0 – 1.0 Durban City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Siwelele to win✗
41%
2.42
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
1.10
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.25
–
Form
Siwelele – last 5
WDLWD
29 Apr
vs Kaizer Chiefs
2–0
W
24 Apr
@ Golden Arrows
0–0
D
7 Apr
@ Chippa United
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Orbit College
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Stellenbosch
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Durban City – last 6
DLWLDW
24 Apr
vs Orbit College
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs Mamelodi Sundowns
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Richards Bay
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Kaizer Chiefs
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Sekhukhune United
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Marumo Gallants
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Siwelele and Durban City.
What is the prediction for Siwelele vs Durban City?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Siwelele vs Durban City?
On our numbers Siwelele have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Durban City 32%.
How many goals will there be in Siwelele vs Durban City?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Siwelele vs Durban City?
Our predicted score is Siwelele 1–0 Durban City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Siwelele vs Durban City?
Siwelele vs Durban City (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Magesi1
Orbit College2