Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultMamelodi Sundowns to win63% · @1.47
Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–117% · fair 5.94
Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns preview and prediction
The match
Mamelodi Sundowns travel to Richards Bay Sports Stadium in the Premier Soccer League on Sunday 26 April (16:30 WAT) to face Richards Bay. Richards Bay are 16th with 3 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Mamelodi Sundowns sit 1st on 26 points (top of the table). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Richards Bay's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat TS Galaxy 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Mamelodi Sundowns's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Stellenbosch 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Richards Bay and 1.6 for Mamelodi Sundowns. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Richards Bay 16%, draw 21%, Mamelodi Sundowns 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 50% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Richards Bay 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Richards Bay16%fair 6.29 · @7.50
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.90
Mamelodi Sundowns63%fair 1.58 · @1.47
2.27Expected goals
0.64Richards Bay xG
1.64Mamelodi Sundowns xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–214%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Richards Bay 0.6 – 1.6 Mamelodi Sundowns expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mamelodi Sundowns to win
63%
1.58
1.47
Double chance
Mamelodi Sundowns or draw
84%
1.19
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.99
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mamelodi Sundowns / FT Mamelodi Sundowns
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
17%
5.94
–
Form
Richards Bay – last 6
WDWLLW
19 Apr
@ TS Galaxy
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Orlando Pirates
2–2
D
7 Apr
vs Stellenbosch
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Durban City
0–1
L
11 Mar
@ Orlando Pirates
0–2
L
3 Mar
vs Kaizer Chiefs
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mamelodi Sundowns – last 6
DWWLWW
22 Apr
vs Stellenbosch
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ Durban City
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Chippa United
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Stade Malien Bamako
0–2
L
17 Mar
vs Marumo Gallants
3–1
W
13 Mar
vs Stade Malien Bamako
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Richards Bay and Mamelodi Sundowns.
What is the prediction for Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
On our numbers Richards Bay have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mamelodi Sundowns 63%.
How many goals will there be in Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our predicted score is Richards Bay 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Richards Bay Sports Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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