Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMamelodi Sundowns to win ✓63% · @1.59
Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19% · fair 5.38
Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns preview and prediction
The match
Durban City host Mamelodi Sundowns in the Premier Soccer League on Tuesday 7 April, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Chatsworth Stadium. Durban City are 13th with 7 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Mamelodi Sundowns sit 1st on 26 points (top of the table). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Durban City's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Richards Bay 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mamelodi Sundowns's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Chippa United 4–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Mamelodi Sundowns arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.6 for Durban City and 1.6 for Mamelodi Sundowns. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Durban City 13%, draw 23%, Mamelodi Sundowns 63%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Durban City 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Durban City13%fair 7.44 · @6.60
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.45
Mamelodi Sundowns63%fair 1.58 · @1.59
2.14Expected goals
0.56Durban City xG
1.59Mamelodi Sundowns xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–215%
0–012%
1–110%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Durban City 0.6 – 1.6 Mamelodi Sundowns expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mamelodi Sundowns to win✓
63%
1.58
1.59
Double chance
Mamelodi Sundowns or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mamelodi Sundowns / FT Mamelodi Sundowns✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
19%
5.38
–
Form
Durban City – last 5
WLDWW
22 Mar
vs Richards Bay
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Kaizer Chiefs
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Sekhukhune United
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Marumo Gallants
1–0
W
13 Feb
vs TS Galaxy
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mamelodi Sundowns – last 6
WLWWWW
3 Apr
vs Chippa United
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Stade Malien Bamako
0–2
L
17 Mar
vs Marumo Gallants
3–1
W
13 Mar
vs Stade Malien Bamako
3–0
W
10 Mar
@ Orbit College
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Golden Arrows
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Durban City and Mamelodi Sundowns.
What is the prediction for Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
On our numbers Durban City have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mamelodi Sundowns 63%.
How many goals will there be in Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our predicted score is Durban City 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Chatsworth Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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