Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrlando Pirates to win ✗38% · @2.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.16
Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Soccer League sees Orlando Pirates take on Mamelodi Sundowns on Wednesday 18 February, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Orlando Stadium. Orlando Pirates are 2nd with 25 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Mamelodi Sundowns sit 1st on 26 points (top of the table). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Orlando Pirates and 1.0 for Mamelodi Sundowns. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Orlando Pirates 1–0 Mamelodi Sundowns. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orlando Pirates38%fair 2.65 · @2.94
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @2.72
Mamelodi Sundowns35%fair 2.87 · @2.76
1.99Expected goals
1.02Orlando Pirates xG
0.97Mamelodi Sundowns xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Orlando Pirates 1.0 – 1.0 Mamelodi Sundowns expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orlando Pirates to win✗
38%
2.65
2.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.16
–
Form
Orlando Pirates
No recent results on record.
Mamelodi Sundowns
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orlando Pirates and Mamelodi Sundowns.
What is the prediction for Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
On our numbers Orlando Pirates have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Mamelodi Sundowns 35%.
How many goals will there be in Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our predicted score is Orlando Pirates 1–0 Mamelodi Sundowns, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Orlando Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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