Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMamelodi Sundowns to win ✓66% · @1.48
Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw ✓91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓20% · fair 4.95
Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns preview and prediction
The match
Polokwane City host Mamelodi Sundowns in the Premier Soccer League on Wednesday 29 April, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Old Peter Mokaba Stadium. Polokwane City are 11th with 8 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Mamelodi Sundowns sit 1st on 26 points (top of the table). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Polokwane City's last 4: WWLW Most recently they beat Stellenbosch 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mamelodi Sundowns's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Stellenbosch 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.5 for Polokwane City and 1.6 for Mamelodi Sundowns. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Polokwane City 9%, draw 25%, Mamelodi Sundowns 66%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Polokwane City 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Polokwane City9%fair 11.20 · @7.75
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.80
Mamelodi Sundowns66%fair 1.51 · @1.48
2.10Expected goals
0.45Polokwane City xG
1.65Mamelodi Sundowns xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–217%
0–012%
1–19%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: Polokwane City 0.5 – 1.6 Mamelodi Sundowns expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mamelodi Sundowns to win✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Double chance
Mamelodi Sundowns or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mamelodi Sundowns / FT Mamelodi Sundowns✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
20%
4.95
–
Form
Polokwane City – last 4
WWLW
26 Apr
vs Stellenbosch
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ TS Galaxy
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Orlando Pirates
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Magesi
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mamelodi Sundowns – last 6
DWWLWW
22 Apr
vs Stellenbosch
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ Durban City
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Chippa United
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Stade Malien Bamako
0–2
L
17 Mar
vs Marumo Gallants
3–1
W
13 Mar
vs Stade Malien Bamako
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polokwane City and Mamelodi Sundowns.
What is the prediction for Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
On our numbers Polokwane City have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mamelodi Sundowns 66%.
How many goals will there be in Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Our predicted score is Polokwane City 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Polokwane City vs Mamelodi Sundowns (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Old Peter Mokaba Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
