Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Weymouth to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWeymouth to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceWeymouth or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Weymouth vs Dorchester Town preview and prediction
The match
Weymouth host Dorchester Town in the Non League Premier Southern South on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Bob Lucas Stadium.
Form guide
Dorchester Town's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Berkhamsted 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Weymouth and 1.0 for Dorchester Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Weymouth 62%, draw 20%, Dorchester Town 19%.
Safer route: Weymouth or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Weymouth to win at 1.80 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Weymouth or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Weymouth 2–1 Dorchester Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Weymouth62%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.40
Dorchester Town19%fair 5.36 · @3.60
3.03Expected goals
2.02Weymouth xG
1.01Dorchester Town xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Weymouth 2.0 – 1.0 Dorchester Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Weymouth to win✗
62%
1.63
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Weymouth or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Weymouth ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Weymouth / FT Weymouth✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.04
–
Form
Weymouth – last 2
WL
3 Apr
@ Bracknell Town
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Uxbridge
1–5
L
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Dorchester Town – last 5
LLLWD
3 Apr
vs Berkhamsted
2–3
L
17 Mar
@ Farnham Town
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Chertsey Town
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Tiverton Town
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Gosport Borough
2–2
D
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Weymouth and Dorchester Town.
What is the prediction for Weymouth vs Dorchester Town?
Our pick is Weymouth or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Weymouth vs Dorchester Town?
On our numbers Weymouth have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dorchester Town 19%.
How many goals will there be in Weymouth vs Dorchester Town?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Weymouth vs Dorchester Town?
Our predicted score is Weymouth 2–1 Dorchester Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Weymouth vs Dorchester Town?
Weymouth vs Dorchester Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bob Lucas Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.