Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 17 Mar 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultPlymouth Parkway to win ✓40% · @2.88

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.21

Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town preview and prediction

The match

Plymouth Parkway host Chertsey Town in the Non League Premier Southern South on Tuesday 17 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Manadon Sports Hub. Plymouth Parkway are 4th with 29 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Chertsey Town sit 5th on 29 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Plymouth Parkway's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Wimborne Town 3–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 3.0 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.0 for Plymouth Parkway and 1.5 for Chertsey Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Plymouth Parkway 40%, draw 23%, Chertsey Town 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Plymouth Parkway to win at 2.88 – 40% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Plymouth Parkway 1–1 Chertsey Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Plymouth Parkway40%fair 2.49 · @2.88

Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.60

Chertsey Town37%fair 2.69 · @2.05

3.52Expected goals

1.97Plymouth Parkway xG

1.54Chertsey Town xG

64%Both score

68%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–19%

2–19%

1–27%

2–27%

3–16%

1–06%

From our goals model: Plymouth Parkway 2.0 – 1.5 Chertsey Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Footrivo team ratings

	Plymouth Parkway	Chertsey Town
Attack vs Non League Premier Southern South average	+29%	+24%
Goals conceded vs average	-11%	-0%
Our expected goals here	2.38	1.51

Plymouth Parkway

Chertsey Town

Attack vs Non League Premier Southern South average

+29%

+24%

Goals conceded vs average

-11%

-0%

Our expected goals here

2.38

1.51

Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Southern South result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Plymouth Parkway to win ✓	40%	2.49	2.88 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.29	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.56	1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	87%	1.16	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	53%	1.88	–
Half-time result	Plymouth Parkway ahead at half-time ✓	38%	2.67	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Plymouth Parkway / FT Plymouth Parkway ✓	30%	3.38	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.21	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Plymouth Parkway to win ✓

40%

2.49

2.88 ▲

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

77%

1.29

1.25

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

64%

1.56

1.53

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

87%

1.16

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✓

68%

1.47

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✗

53%

1.88

–

Half-time result

Plymouth Parkway ahead at half-time ✓

38%

2.67

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Plymouth Parkway / FT Plymouth Parkway ✓

30%

3.38

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

11.21

–

Form

Head to head

Non League Premier Southern South table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uxbridge	16	11	3	2	+19	36
2	Poole Town	16	10	2	4	+11	32
3	Hanworth Villa	16	9	4	3	+13	31
4	Plymouth Parkway	15	9	2	4	+13	29
5	Chertsey Town	16	8	5	3	+10	29
6	Bath City	16	9	2	5	+6	29
7	Chichester City	17	9	1	7	+2	28
8	Gosport Borough	16	7	3	6	+3	24
9	Wimborne Town	13	6	4	3	+13	22
10	Taunton Town	14	7	1	6	+9	22
11	Frome Town	15	5	5	5	+3	20
12	Berkhamsted	14	5	3	6	-2	18
13	Yate Town	16	4	6	6	-8	18
14	Sholing	14	4	5	5	-2	17
15	Hanwell Town	16	4	5	7	-4	17
16	Basingstoke Town	16	4	4	8	-7	16
17	Chippenham Town	16	4	4	8	-12	16
18	Evesham United	17	5	1	11	-16	16
19	Gloucester City	14	3	6	5	-3	15
20	Bracknell Town	17	4	3	10	-18	15
21	Malvern Town	16	4	2	10	-17	14
22	Havant & Wville	16	3	3	10	-13	12

Team

Pts

+19

+11

+13

+13

+10

+13

-2

-8

-2

-4

-7

-12

-16

-3

-18

-17

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?

On our numbers Plymouth Parkway have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chertsey Town 37%.

How many goals will there be in Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?

Our predicted score is Plymouth Parkway 1–1 Chertsey Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town?

Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Manadon Sports Hub.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

10 Mar	vs Wimborne Town	3–2	W
24 Feb	@ Hanwell Town	2–3	L
17 Feb	vs Walton & Hersham	0–4	L

10 Mar	vs Taunton Town	3–1	W
3 Mar	vs Dorchester Town	2–1	W

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes