Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Poole Town to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPoole Town to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chancePoole Town or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Yate Town vs Poole Town preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Southern South sees Yate Town take on Poole Town on Tuesday 24 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Jelf Stadium. Yate Town are 13th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Poole Town sit 2nd on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Yate Town and 2.0 for Poole Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Yate Town 20%, draw 20%, Poole Town 60%.
Safer route: Poole Town or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Poole Town to win at 1.83 – 60% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Poole Town or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Yate Town 1–1 Poole Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yate Town20%fair 5.08 · @3.25
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.70
Poole Town60%fair 1.67 · @1.83
2.99Expected goals
1.02Yate Town xG
1.97Poole Town xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–210%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Yate Town 1.0 – 2.0 Poole Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Poole Town to win✗
60%
1.67
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Poole Town or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Poole Town ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Poole Town / FT Poole Town✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Yate Town – last 2
LL
3 Mar
@ Farnham Town
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Farnham Town
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Poole Town – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Berkhamsted
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yate Town and Poole Town.
What is the prediction for Yate Town vs Poole Town?
Our pick is Poole Town or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Yate Town vs Poole Town?
On our numbers Yate Town have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Poole Town 60%.
How many goals will there be in Yate Town vs Poole Town?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yate Town vs Poole Town?
Our predicted score is Yate Town 1–1 Poole Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Yate Town vs Poole Town?
Yate Town vs Poole Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Jelf Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tiverton Town0
Walton & Hersham3
Farnham Town1