Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Bury Town to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeiston to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.80
Leiston vs Bury Town preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Southern Central sees Leiston take on Bury Town on Monday 6 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Victory Road. Leiston are 17th with 15 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Bury Town sit 3rd on 36 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bury Town's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Worcester City 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Leiston and 1.4 for Bury Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leiston 39%, draw 24%, Bury Town 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Bury Town to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Leiston 1–1 Bury Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leiston39%fair 2.58 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Bury Town37%fair 2.69 · @2.90
2.87Expected goals
1.45Leiston xG
1.42Bury Town xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Leiston 1.5 – 1.4 Bury Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leiston to win✗
39%
2.58
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leiston / FT Leiston✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.80
–
Form
Leiston – last 2
LW
3 Apr
@ Redditch United
0–4
L
21 Feb
@ AFC Sudbury
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bury Town – last 3
DDD
3 Apr
vs Worcester City
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Quorn
4–4
D
21 Feb
vs Needham Market
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leiston and Bury Town.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Leiston vs Bury Town?
On our numbers Leiston have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bury Town 37%.
How many goals will there be in Leiston vs Bury Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leiston vs Bury Town?
Our predicted score is Leiston 1–1 Bury Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Leiston vs Bury Town?
Leiston vs Bury Town (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Victory Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Royston Town0
St Ives Town2
Harborough Town5
AFC Sudbury1
Barwell0
Spalding United2
Quorn0