Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlvechurch to win ✓66% · @1.57
Double chanceAlvechurch or draw ✓88% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.26
Alvechurch vs Barwell preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Southern Central sees Alvechurch take on Barwell on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Lye Meadow.
Form guide
Alvechurch's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with St Ives Town 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Barwell's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Halesowen Town 2–6 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Alvechurch and 0.8 for Barwell. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 45%.
Our pre-match pick was Alvechurch to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alvechurch 2–0 Barwell. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alvechurch66%fair 1.51 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @4.00
Barwell12%fair 8.64 · @4.33
2.92Expected goals
2.12Alvechurch xG
0.80Barwell xG
45%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Alvechurch 2.1 – 0.8 Barwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alvechurch to win✓
66%
1.51
1.57
Double chance
Alvechurch or draw✓
88%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Alvechurch ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alvechurch / FT Alvechurch✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.26
–
Form
Alvechurch – last 6
DWWLLL
24 Mar
vs St Ives Town
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Stamford
2–0
W
10 Mar
@ Kettering Town
2–0
W
3 Mar
vs Stourbridge
1–2
L
24 Feb
vs Real Bedford
3–4
L
21 Feb
vs Redditch United
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Barwell – last 3
LWL
23 Feb
vs Halesowen Town
2–6
L
21 Feb
vs Stamford
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Redditch United
2–5
L
2.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alvechurch and Barwell.
Our pick is Alvechurch to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Alvechurch vs Barwell?
On our numbers Alvechurch have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Barwell 12%.
How many goals will there be in Alvechurch vs Barwell?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alvechurch vs Barwell?
Our predicted score is Alvechurch 2–0 Barwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Alvechurch vs Barwell?
Alvechurch vs Barwell (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Lye Meadow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
St Ives Town1
Harborough Town2
Royston Town2
Spalding United3