Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.37
Alvechurch vs Stourbridge preview and prediction
The match
Alvechurch host Stourbridge in the Non League Premier Southern Central on Tuesday 3 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Lye Meadow. Alvechurch are 6th with 29 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Stourbridge sit 11th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Alvechurch's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Real Bedford 3–4 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.7 for Alvechurch and 1.1 for Stourbridge. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Alvechurch 2–1 Stourbridge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alvechurch48%fair 2.09 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.50
Stourbridge30%fair 3.39 · @3.00
2.76Expected goals
1.69Alvechurch xG
1.07Stourbridge xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Alvechurch 1.7 – 1.1 Stourbridge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Alvechurch
Stourbridge
Attack vs Non League Premier Southern Central average
+18%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-29%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.77
0.95
Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Southern Central result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alvechurch to win✗
48%
2.09
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alvechurch / FT Alvechurch✗
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.37
–
Form
Alvechurch – last 3
LLW
24 Feb
vs Real Bedford
3–4
L
21 Feb
vs Redditch United
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Bromsgrove Sporting
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stourbridge – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Real Bedford
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alvechurch and Stourbridge.
What is the prediction for Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?
On our numbers Alvechurch have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stourbridge 30%.
How many goals will there be in Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?
Our predicted score is Alvechurch 2–1 Stourbridge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alvechurch vs Stourbridge?
Alvechurch vs Stourbridge (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Lye Meadow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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