Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
1
Value bet: Alvechurch to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Bedford to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Alvechurch vs Real Bedford preview and prediction
The match
Real Bedford travel to Lye Meadow in the Non League Premier Southern Central on Tuesday 24 February (20:45 WAT) to face Alvechurch. Alvechurch are 6th with 29 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Real Bedford sit 1st on 41 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Alvechurch and 1.5 for Real Bedford. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alvechurch 33%, draw 24%, Real Bedford 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Alvechurch to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alvechurch 1–1 Real Bedford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alvechurch33%fair 3.05 · @3.30
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.10
Real Bedford43%fair 2.31 · @2.00
3.02Expected goals
1.49Alvechurch xG
1.53Real Bedford xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Alvechurch 1.5 – 1.5 Real Bedford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Alvechurch
Real Bedford
Attack vs Non League Premier Southern Central average
+18%
+43%
Goals conceded vs average
-29%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.73
1.54
Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Southern Central result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Bedford to win✓
43%
2.31
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Bedford / FT Real Bedford✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.77
–
Form
Alvechurch – last 2
LW
21 Feb
vs Redditch United
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Bromsgrove Sporting
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Bedford – last 2
LW
21 Feb
@ Stourbridge
1–2
L
17 Feb
@ Bishop's Stortford
5–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alvechurch and Real Bedford.
What is the prediction for Alvechurch vs Real Bedford?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Alvechurch vs Real Bedford?
On our numbers Alvechurch have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Bedford 43%.
How many goals will there be in Alvechurch vs Real Bedford?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alvechurch vs Real Bedford?
Our predicted score is Alvechurch 1–1 Real Bedford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Alvechurch vs Real Bedford?
Alvechurch vs Real Bedford (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Lye Meadow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
