Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Bayonne to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBayonne to win ✓56% · @1.90
Double chanceBayonne or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.76
Bayonne vs Les Herbiers preview and prediction
The match
The National 2 Group A sees Bayonne take on Les Herbiers on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stade Didier Deschamps.
Form guide
Bayonne's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Lorient II 0–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Les Herbiers's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Poitiers 2–1 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Bayonne and 0.8 for Les Herbiers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bayonne 56%, draw 22%, Les Herbiers 21%.
Safer route: Bayonne or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Bayonne to win at 1.90 – 56% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bayonne or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bayonne 1–0 Les Herbiers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bayonne56%fair 1.78 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.25
Les Herbiers21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
2.34Expected goals
1.53Bayonne xG
0.80Les Herbiers xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Bayonne 1.5 – 0.8 Les Herbiers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayonne to win✓
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Bayonne or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayonne / FT Bayonne✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.76
–
Form
Bayonne – last 4
LWWW
22 Mar
@ Lorient II
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Poitiers
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Chauray
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Angoulême
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Les Herbiers – last 5
WWWDL
8 Apr
vs Poitiers
2–1
W
27 Mar
vs Lorient II
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Chauray
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ La Roche VF
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Saint-Malo
0–1
L
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bayonne and Les Herbiers.
What is the prediction for Bayonne vs Les Herbiers?
Our pick is Bayonne or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bayonne vs Les Herbiers?
On our numbers Bayonne have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Les Herbiers 21%.
How many goals will there be in Bayonne vs Les Herbiers?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bayonne vs Les Herbiers?
Our predicted score is Bayonne 1–0 Les Herbiers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bayonne vs Les Herbiers?
Bayonne vs Les Herbiers (National 2 Group A) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Didier Deschamps.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
La Roche VF1
Angoulême1