Value bet: La Roche VF to win @ 2.70 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultLa Roche VF to win44% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–110% · fair 9.89
Bayonne vs La Roche VF preview and prediction
The match
The National 2 Group A sees Bayonne take on La Roche VF on Wednesday 8 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stade Didier Deschamps.
Form guide
Bayonne's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Lorient II 0–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Bayonne and 1.4 for La Roche VF. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bayonne 36%, draw 21%, La Roche VF 44%.
Value angle: La Roche VF to win at 2.70 – 44% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Bayonne 1–1 La Roche VF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bayonne36%fair 2.81 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.30
La Roche VF44%fair 2.29 · @2.70
2.63Expected goals
1.23Bayonne xG
1.40La Roche VF xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bayonne 1.2 – 1.4 La Roche VF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Roche VF to win
44%
2.29
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Roche VF / FT La Roche VF
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
10%
9.89
–
Form
Bayonne – last 4
LWWW
22 Mar
@ Lorient II
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Poitiers
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Chauray
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Angoulême
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
La Roche VF – last 2
WD
13 Mar
@ Avranches
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Les Herbiers
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bayonne and La Roche VF.
What is the prediction for Bayonne vs La Roche VF?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Bayonne vs La Roche VF?
On our numbers Bayonne have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and La Roche VF 44%.
How many goals will there be in Bayonne vs La Roche VF?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bayonne vs La Roche VF?
Our predicted score is Bayonne 1–1 La Roche VF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bayonne vs La Roche VF?
Bayonne vs La Roche VF (National 2 Group A) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Didier Deschamps.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Les Herbiers2
Poitiers1