Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Bayonne to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBayonne to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceBayonne or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.96
Poitiers vs Bayonne preview and prediction
The match
Poitiers host Bayonne in the National 2 Group A on Wednesday 18 March, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stade Michel-Amand.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.7 for Poitiers and 1.5 for Bayonne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 41%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Poitiers 18%, draw 21%, Bayonne 60%.
Safer route: Bayonne or draw (82%) at 1.20.
Value angle: Bayonne to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bayonne or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Poitiers 0–1 Bayonne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Poitiers18%fair 5.42 · @3.75
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.20
Bayonne60%fair 1.66 · @1.90
2.22Expected goals
0.68Poitiers xG
1.54Bayonne xG
41%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–213%
1–111%
0–011%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Poitiers 0.7 – 1.5 Bayonne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayonne to win✓
60%
1.66
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Bayonne or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayonne / FT Bayonne✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.96
–
Form
Poitiers – last 1
D
6 Mar
vs Avranches
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bayonne – last 2
WW
6 Mar
@ Chauray
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Angoulême
5–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Poitiers and Bayonne.
Our pick is Bayonne or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Poitiers vs Bayonne?
On our numbers Poitiers have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bayonne 60%.
How many goals will there be in Poitiers vs Bayonne?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Poitiers vs Bayonne?
Our predicted score is Poitiers 0–1 Bayonne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Poitiers vs Bayonne?
Poitiers vs Bayonne (National 2 Group A) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Michel-Amand.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Saint-Malo2
Avranches0