Wingate & Finchley vs Canvey Island prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Wingate & Finchley or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWingate & Finchley to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceWingate & Finchley or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Wingate & Finchley vs Canvey Island preview and prediction
The match
Canvey Island travel to The Maurice Rebak Stadium in the Non League Premier Isthmian on Tuesday 24 February (20:45 WAT) to face Wingate & Finchley.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Wingate & Finchley and 1.2 for Canvey Island. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Wingate & Finchley or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Wingate & Finchley or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Wingate & Finchley 2–1 Canvey Island. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wingate & Finchley58%fair 1.72 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.50
Canvey Island19%fair 5.34 · @3.60
3.33Expected goals
2.08Wingate & Finchley xG
1.25Canvey Island xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Wingate & Finchley 2.1 – 1.2 Canvey Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Wingate & Finchley
Canvey Island
Attack vs Non League Premier Isthmian average
+8%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
+4%
Our expected goals here
2.18
1.42
Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Isthmian result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wingate & Finchley to win✓
58%
1.72
1.75
Double chance
Wingate & Finchley or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Wingate & Finchley ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wingate & Finchley / FT Wingate & Finchley✓
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Form
Wingate & Finchley – last 2
LW
21 Feb
@ Burgess Hill Town
1–3
L
17 Feb
vs Potters Bar Town
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Canvey Island – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ Chichester City
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wingate & Finchley and Canvey Island.
What is the prediction for Wingate & Finchley vs Canvey Island?
Our pick is Wingate & Finchley or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Wingate & Finchley vs Canvey Island?
On our numbers Wingate & Finchley have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Canvey Island 19%.
How many goals will there be in Wingate & Finchley vs Canvey Island?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wingate & Finchley vs Canvey Island?
Our predicted score is Wingate & Finchley 2–1 Canvey Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Wingate & Finchley vs Canvey Island?
Wingate & Finchley vs Canvey Island (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Maurice Rebak Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
