Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWingate & Finchley to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town preview and prediction
The match
Burgess Hill Town travel to The Maurice Rebak Stadium in the Non League Premier Isthmian on Tuesday 3 March (20:45 WAT) to face Wingate & Finchley. Wingate & Finchley are 11th with 22 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Burgess Hill Town sit 12th on 22 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Wingate & Finchley's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Canvey Island 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Burgess Hill Town 3–1 Wingate & Finchley.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.0 for Wingate & Finchley and 1.6 for Burgess Hill Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wingate & Finchley 45%, draw 21%, Burgess Hill Town 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Wingate & Finchley 1–1 Burgess Hill Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wingate & Finchley45%fair 2.24 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.70
Burgess Hill Town34%fair 2.90 · @2.80
3.56Expected goals
1.97Wingate & Finchley xG
1.59Burgess Hill Town xG
67%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Wingate & Finchley 2.0 – 1.6 Burgess Hill Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Wingate & Finchley
Burgess Hill Town
Attack vs Non League Premier Isthmian average
+8%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
-0%
Our expected goals here
2.10
1.58
Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Isthmian result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?
On our numbers Wingate & Finchley have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Burgess Hill Town 34%.
How many goals will there be in Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?
Our predicted score is Wingate & Finchley 1–1 Burgess Hill Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town?
Wingate & Finchley vs Burgess Hill Town (Non League Premier Isthmian) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Maurice Rebak Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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