The National 1 sees Aubagne take on Stade Briochin on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Form guide
Aubagne's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Rouen 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Stade Briochin's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Concarneau 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Aubagne and 1.2 for Stade Briochin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Aubagne 1–1 Stade Briochin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aubagne44%fair 2.26 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.35
Stade Briochin35%fair 2.86 · @2.75
2.67Expected goals
1.43Aubagne xG
1.23Stade Briochin xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Aubagne 1.4 – 1.2 Stade Briochin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aubagne to win✗
44%
2.26
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aubagne / FT Aubagne✗
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Aubagne – last 6
LLWDDL
24 Apr
@ Rouen
1–3
L
17 Apr
vs Orleans
0–2
L
10 Apr
@ Le Puy Foot
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Chateauroux
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Valenciennes
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs Sochaux
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stade Briochin – last 6
LDDLWL
24 Apr
vs Concarneau
1–2
L
10 Apr
vs Villefranche
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Caen
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Gobelins
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs Chateauroux
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Rouen
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aubagne and Stade Briochin.
What is the prediction for Aubagne vs Stade Briochin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aubagne vs Stade Briochin?
On our numbers Aubagne have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stade Briochin 35%.
How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Stade Briochin?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aubagne vs Stade Briochin?
Our predicted score is Aubagne 1–1 Stade Briochin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Aubagne vs Stade Briochin?
Aubagne vs Stade Briochin (National 1) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
