Montpellier W vs Paris Saint Germain W prediction & analysis
72%
Footrivo pick
Paris Saint Germain W to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.20
7/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultParis Saint Germain W to win72% · @1.20
Double chanceParis Saint Germain W or draw88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–210% · fair 9.56
Montpellier W vs Paris Saint Germain W preview and prediction
The match
Montpellier W host Paris Saint Germain W in the Feminine Division 1 on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stade Bernard Gasset Terrain n°7. Montpellier W are 9th with 6 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Paris Saint Germain W sit 2nd on 19 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 0.9 for Montpellier W and 2.5 for Paris Saint Germain W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Montpellier W 12%, draw 16%, Paris Saint Germain W 72%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paris Saint Germain W to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Montpellier W 0–2 Paris Saint Germain W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montpellier W12%fair 8.47 · @11.00
Draw16%fair 6.19 · @5.50
Paris Saint Germain W72%fair 1.39 · @1.20
3.38Expected goals
0.90Montpellier W xG
2.48Paris Saint Germain W xG
59%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–29%
0–39%
0–18%
1–38%
1–18%
From our goals model: Montpellier W 0.9 – 2.5 Paris Saint Germain W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain W to win
72%
1.39
1.20
Double chance
Paris Saint Germain W or draw
88%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Paris Saint Germain W ahead at half-time
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain W / FT Paris Saint Germain W
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2
10%
9.56
–
Form
Montpellier W – last 2
LD
11 Mar
@ Lens W
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Nantes W
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain W – last 2
WW
11 Mar
vs Marseille W
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Lens W
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montpellier W and Paris Saint Germain W.
What is the prediction for Montpellier W vs Paris Saint Germain W?
Our pick is Paris Saint Germain W to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Montpellier W vs Paris Saint Germain W?
On our numbers Montpellier W have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Paris Saint Germain W 72%.
How many goals will there be in Montpellier W vs Paris Saint Germain W?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montpellier W vs Paris Saint Germain W?
Our predicted score is Montpellier W 0–2 Paris Saint Germain W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Montpellier W vs Paris Saint Germain W?
Montpellier W vs Paris Saint Germain W (Feminine Division 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bernard Gasset Terrain n°7.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.