Value bet: Avellino to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVirtus Entella to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.03
Virtus Entella vs Avellino preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Virtus Entella take on Avellino on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Enrico Sannazzari. Virtus Entella are 16th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Avellino sit 5th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Virtus Entella's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Modena 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Avellino's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to Venezia 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Virtus Entella arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Virtus Entella and 1.2 for Avellino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Avellino to win at 3.25 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Virtus Entella 1–1 Avellino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Virtus Entella41%fair 2.44 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Avellino33%fair 3.01 · @3.25
2.48Expected goals
1.32Virtus Entella xG
1.16Avellino xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Virtus Entella 1.3 – 1.2 Avellino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus Entella to win✗
41%
2.44
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus Entella / FT Virtus Entella✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.03
–
Form
Virtus Entella – last 3
WLL
3 Mar
vs Modena
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Monza
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Catanzaro
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Avellino – last 3
LDL
3 Mar
@ Venezia
0–4
L
22 Feb
@ Reggiana
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Pescara
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Entella and Avellino.
What is the prediction for Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
On our numbers Virtus Entella have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Avellino 33%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
Our predicted score is Virtus Entella 1–1 Avellino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Virtus Entella vs Avellino?
Virtus Entella vs Avellino (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Enrico Sannazzari.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pescara0