Value bet: Mantova to win @ 2.54 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMantova to win ✗45% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.24
Mantova vs Carrarese preview and prediction
The match
Carrarese travel to Stadio Danilo Martelli in the Serie B on Sunday 1 March (17:15 WAT) to face Mantova. Mantova are 4th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Carrarese sit 17th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Mantova and 1.2 for Carrarese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Mantova to win at 2.54 – 45% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Mantova 1–1 Carrarese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mantova45%fair 2.22 · @2.54
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
Carrarese32%fair 3.08 · @2.82
2.57Expected goals
1.42Mantova xG
1.15Carrarese xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Mantova 1.4 – 1.2 Carrarese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mantova to win✗
45%
2.22
2.54 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mantova / FT Mantova✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.24
–
Form
Mantova – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Sampdoria
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Carrarese
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mantova and Carrarese.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mantova vs Carrarese?
On our numbers Mantova have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Carrarese 32%.
How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Carrarese?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Carrarese?
Our predicted score is Mantova 1–1 Carrarese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mantova vs Carrarese?
Mantova vs Carrarese (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Danilo Martelli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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