Value bet: Ghazl El Mehalla to win @ 3.85 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Ittihad to win ✓43% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.24
Al Ittihad vs Ghazl El Mehalla preview and prediction
The match
Al Ittihad host Ghazl El Mehalla in the Premier League on Monday 2 March, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Borg El Arab Stadium. Al Ittihad are 5th with 14 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Ghazl El Mehalla sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Al Ittihad and 0.8 for Ghazl El Mehalla. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Ittihad 43%, draw 25%, Ghazl El Mehalla 33%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Ghazl El Mehalla to win at 3.85 – 33% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Al Ittihad 1–0 Ghazl El Mehalla. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Ittihad43%fair 2.35 · @2.12
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.80
Ghazl El Mehalla33%fair 3.06 · @3.85
1.84Expected goals
1.01Al Ittihad xG
0.83Ghazl El Mehalla xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Al Ittihad 1.0 – 0.8 Ghazl El Mehalla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ittihad to win✓
43%
2.35
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.24
–
Form
Al Ittihad – last 2
LW
25 Feb
@ Petrojet
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Smouha SC
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ghazl El Mehalla – last 2
LD
24 Feb
vs Pyramids FC
1–3
L
20 Feb
vs Masr
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ittihad and Ghazl El Mehalla.
What is the prediction for Al Ittihad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Al Ittihad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
On our numbers Al Ittihad have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ghazl El Mehalla 33%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ittihad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ittihad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Our predicted score is Al Ittihad 1–0 Ghazl El Mehalla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Al Ittihad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Al Ittihad vs Ghazl El Mehalla (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Borg El Arab Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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