Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.32
Al Ahly vs El Gouna FC preview and prediction
The match
El Gouna FC travel to Cairo International Stadium in the Premier League on Thursday 19 February (20:30 WAT) to face Al Ahly. Al Ahly are 2nd with 20 points from 8 games (in the top four), while El Gouna FC sit 20th on 3 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Al Ahly and 0.7 for El Gouna FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Ahly 65%, draw 18%, El Gouna FC 17%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Al Ahly 1–0 El Gouna FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Ahly65%fair 1.53 · @1.32
Draw18%fair 5.68 · @4.20
El Gouna FC17%fair 5.90 · @10.50
2.38Expected goals
1.71Al Ahly xG
0.67El Gouna FC xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Al Ahly 1.7 – 0.7 El Gouna FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahly to win✓
65%
1.53
1.32
Double chance
Al Ahly or draw✓
83%
1.20
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Al Ahly ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahly / FT Al Ahly✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.32
–
Form
Al Ahly – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs FAR Rabat
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
El Gouna FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahly and El Gouna FC.
What is the prediction for Al Ahly vs El Gouna FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Al Ahly vs El Gouna FC?
On our numbers Al Ahly have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and El Gouna FC 17%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahly vs El Gouna FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahly vs El Gouna FC?
Our predicted score is Al Ahly 1–0 El Gouna FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Al Ahly vs El Gouna FC?
Al Ahly vs El Gouna FC (Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Cairo International Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.