Value bet: Chindia Targoviste to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCSM Reşiţa to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.78
CSM Reşiţa vs Chindia Targoviste preview and prediction
The match
Chindia Targoviste travel to Stadionul Mircea Chivu in the Liga II on Saturday 21 February (10:00 WAT) to face CSM Reşiţa. CSM Reşiţa are 6th with 25 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Chindia Targoviste sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for CSM Reşiţa and 1.2 for Chindia Targoviste. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Chindia Targoviste to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: CSM Reşiţa 1–1 Chindia Targoviste. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CSM Reşiţa41%fair 2.44 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Chindia Targoviste35%fair 2.86 · @3.20
2.58Expected goals
1.35CSM Reşiţa xG
1.23Chindia Targoviste xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: CSM Reşiţa 1.4 – 1.2 Chindia Targoviste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSM Reşiţa to win✗
41%
2.44
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.23
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSM Reşiţa / FT CSM Reşiţa✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.78
–
Form
CSM Reşiţa
No recent results on record.
Chindia Targoviste
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSM Reşiţa and Chindia Targoviste.
What is the prediction for CSM Reşiţa vs Chindia Targoviste?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win CSM Reşiţa vs Chindia Targoviste?
On our numbers CSM Reşiţa have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chindia Targoviste 35%.
How many goals will there be in CSM Reşiţa vs Chindia Targoviste?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSM Reşiţa vs Chindia Targoviste?
Our predicted score is CSM Reşiţa 1–1 Chindia Targoviste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CSM Reşiţa vs Chindia Targoviste?
CSM Reşiţa vs Chindia Targoviste (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Mircea Chivu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.