Value bet: Leobendorf to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGloggnitz to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.53
Gloggnitz vs Leobendorf preview and prediction
The match
Leobendorf travel to Krammer-Arena in the Regionalliga Ost on Thursday 30 April (18:30 WAT) to face Gloggnitz. Gloggnitz are 10th with 20 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Leobendorf sit 13th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gloggnitz's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Neusiedl 5–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
Leobendorf's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Neusiedl 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Gloggnitz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Gloggnitz and 0.9 for Leobendorf. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Leobendorf to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Gloggnitz 1–1 Leobendorf. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gloggnitz41%fair 2.45 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.90
Leobendorf38%fair 2.60 · @2.80
1.79Expected goals
0.92Gloggnitz xG
0.87Leobendorf xG
57%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–015%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Gloggnitz 0.9 – 0.9 Leobendorf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gloggnitz to win✓
41%
2.45
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.53
–
Form
Gloggnitz – last 6
WLWWWD
24 Apr
@ Neusiedl
5–1
W
17 Apr
vs Oberwart
0–4
L
10 Apr
@ Donau
7–4
W
6 Apr
vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
4–2
W
3 Apr
@ TWL Elektra
2–0
W
10 Mar
@ Traiskirchen
2–2
D
3.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Leobendorf – last 6
WLDLLL
17 Apr
vs Neusiedl
3–2
W
10 Apr
@ Oberwart
0–4
L
6 Apr
vs Donau
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
0–5
L
20 Mar
@ SV Horn
0–2
L
6 Mar
@ Parndorf
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gloggnitz and Leobendorf.
What is the prediction for Gloggnitz vs Leobendorf?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Gloggnitz vs Leobendorf?
On our numbers Gloggnitz have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leobendorf 38%.
How many goals will there be in Gloggnitz vs Leobendorf?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gloggnitz vs Leobendorf?
Our predicted score is Gloggnitz 1–1 Leobendorf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Gloggnitz vs Leobendorf?
Gloggnitz vs Leobendorf (Regionalliga Ost) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Krammer-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
TWL Elektra0