Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDonau to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.60
Donau vs Union Mauer preview and prediction
The match
The Regionalliga Ost sees Donau take on Union Mauer on Friday 24 April, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at WFV Hirschstetten Sportplatz.
Form guide
Donau's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Gloggnitz 4–7 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Union Mauer's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Donau and 0.8 for Union Mauer. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Donau 60%, draw 18%, Union Mauer 22%.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Donau to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Donau 1–0 Union Mauer. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Donau60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @3.75
Union Mauer22%fair 4.59 · @3.40
2.34Expected goals
1.57Donau xG
0.77Union Mauer xG
44%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Donau 1.6 – 0.8 Union Mauer expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Donau to win✗
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Donau / FT Donau✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.60
–
Form
Donau – last 6
LDWDDD
10 Apr
vs Gloggnitz
4–7
L
6 Apr
@ Leobendorf
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Neusiedl
4–2
W
27 Mar
@ Oberwart
2–2
D
17 Mar
vs Fach-Donaufeld
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
3–3
D
2.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Union Mauer – last 6
LWDLDL
17 Apr
vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
0–3
L
14 Apr
@ TWL Elektra
2–0
W
6 Apr
vs SV Horn
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Fach-Donaufeld
0–3
L
28 Mar
vs Parndorf
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs Krems Rehberg
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Donau and Union Mauer.
Our pick is Donau to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Donau vs Union Mauer?
On our numbers Donau have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Union Mauer 22%.
How many goals will there be in Donau vs Union Mauer?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Donau vs Union Mauer?
Our predicted score is Donau 1–0 Union Mauer, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Donau vs Union Mauer?
Donau vs Union Mauer (Regionalliga Ost) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at WFV Hirschstetten Sportplatz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Neusiedl1
Retz0
TWL Elektra0