Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Leobendorf to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeobendorf to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceLeobendorf or draw ✓80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.98
Leobendorf vs Donau preview and prediction
The match
Leobendorf host Donau in the Regionalliga Ost on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Sportplatz Leobendorf. Leobendorf are 13th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Donau sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Leobendorf's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 0–5 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Donau's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Neusiedl 4–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Donau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Leobendorf and 0.8 for Donau. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leobendorf 59%, draw 21%, Donau 20%.
Safer route: Leobendorf or draw (80%) at 1.28.
Value angle: Leobendorf to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Leobendorf or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Leobendorf 1–0 Donau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leobendorf59%fair 1.68 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.60
Donau20%fair 5.01 · @3.20
2.44Expected goals
1.64Leobendorf xG
0.80Donau xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Leobendorf 1.6 – 0.8 Donau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leobendorf to win✗
59%
1.68
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Leobendorf or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leobendorf / FT Leobendorf✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.98
–
Form
Leobendorf – last 5
LLLWW
3 Apr
@ Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
0–5
L
20 Mar
@ SV Horn
0–2
L
6 Mar
@ Parndorf
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Wiener Viktoria
5–0
W
13 Feb
vs Leithaprodersdorf
5–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Donau – last 5
WDDDW
3 Apr
vs Neusiedl
4–2
W
27 Mar
@ Oberwart
2–2
D
17 Mar
vs Fach-Donaufeld
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
3–3
D
6 Mar
@ TWL Elektra
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leobendorf and Donau.
Our pick is Leobendorf or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Leobendorf vs Donau?
On our numbers Leobendorf have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Donau 20%.
How many goals will there be in Leobendorf vs Donau?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leobendorf vs Donau?
Our predicted score is Leobendorf 1–0 Donau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Leobendorf vs Donau?
Leobendorf vs Donau (Regionalliga Ost) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportplatz Leobendorf.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Union Mauer0
Retz0
TWL Elektra0
Neusiedl2