Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Oberwart to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOberwart to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceOberwart or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.18
Oberwart vs Donau preview and prediction
The match
Donau travel to Informstadion in the Regionalliga Ost on Friday 27 March (19:30 WAT) to face Oberwart. Oberwart are 2nd with 30 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Donau sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Oberwart's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Donau's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with Fach-Donaufeld 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Donau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Oberwart and 1.0 for Donau. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oberwart 59%, draw 21%, Donau 20%.
Safer route: Oberwart or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Oberwart to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Oberwart or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Oberwart 1–0 Donau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oberwart59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.75
Donau20%fair 4.93 · @3.30
2.84Expected goals
1.86Oberwart xG
0.98Donau xG
47%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Oberwart 1.9 – 1.0 Donau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oberwart to win✗
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Oberwart or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Oberwart ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oberwart / FT Oberwart✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.18
–
Form
Oberwart – last 4
WLLL
20 Mar
@ Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs TWL Elektra
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ SV Horn
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Fach-Donaufeld
2–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Donau – last 3
DDW
17 Mar
vs Fach-Donaufeld
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
3–3
D
6 Mar
@ TWL Elektra
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oberwart and Donau.
Our pick is Oberwart or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Oberwart vs Donau?
On our numbers Oberwart have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Donau 20%.
How many goals will there be in Oberwart vs Donau?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oberwart vs Donau?
Our predicted score is Oberwart 1–0 Donau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Oberwart vs Donau?
Oberwart vs Donau (Regionalliga Ost) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Informstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
