Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Donau to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFach-Donaufeld to win ✗41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.90
Donau vs Fach-Donaufeld preview and prediction
The match
The Regionalliga Ost sees Donau take on Fach-Donaufeld on Tuesday 17 March, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at WFV Hirschstetten Sportplatz. Donau are 12th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Fach-Donaufeld sit 8th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.8 for Donau and 1.6 for Fach-Donaufeld. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Donau to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Donau 1–1 Fach-Donaufeld. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Donau36%fair 2.75 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.60
Fach-Donaufeld41%fair 2.45 · @2.00
3.40Expected goals
1.79Donau xG
1.61Fach-Donaufeld xG
63%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–15%
From our goals model: Donau 1.8 – 1.6 Fach-Donaufeld expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fach-Donaufeld to win✗
41%
2.45
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Donau / FT Donau✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.90
–
Form
Donau – last 2
DW
13 Mar
vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
3–3
D
6 Mar
@ TWL Elektra
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fach-Donaufeld – last 1
W
27 Feb
@ Oberwart
4–2
W
4.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Donau and Fach-Donaufeld.
What is the prediction for Donau vs Fach-Donaufeld?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Donau vs Fach-Donaufeld?
On our numbers Donau have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fach-Donaufeld 41%.
How many goals will there be in Donau vs Fach-Donaufeld?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Donau vs Fach-Donaufeld?
Our predicted score is Donau 1–1 Fach-Donaufeld, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Donau vs Fach-Donaufeld?
Donau vs Fach-Donaufeld (Regionalliga Ost) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at WFV Hirschstetten Sportplatz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
