Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTre Penne to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceTre Penne or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.25
Tre Penne vs Folgore preview and prediction
The match
Folgore travel to Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo in the Campionato on Sunday 22 March (15:00 WAT) to face Tre Penne. Tre Penne are 2nd with 20 points from 8 games (in the top four), while Folgore sit 1st on 22 points (top of the table). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tre Penne's last 4: WWWD Most recently they beat Murata 4–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Folgore's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with San Giovanni 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.4 per game.
Tre Penne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Tre Penne and 0.9 for Folgore. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tre Penne 64%, draw 18%, Folgore 18%.
Safer route: Tre Penne or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tre Penne to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tre Penne 2–0 Folgore. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tre Penne64%fair 1.56 · @1.70
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @3.75
Folgore18%fair 5.67 · @3.80
2.93Expected goals
2.01Tre Penne xG
0.92Folgore xG
47%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tre Penne 2.0 – 0.9 Folgore expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tre Penne to win✗
64%
1.56
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Tre Penne or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Tre Penne ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tre Penne / FT Tre Penne✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.25
–
Form
Tre Penne – last 4
WWWD
15 Mar
@ Murata
4–0
W
8 Mar
@ Domagnano
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Tre Fiori
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Cosmos
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Folgore – last 5
DDWWD
15 Mar
vs San Giovanni
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs La Fiorita
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Libertas
4–2
W
21 Feb
@ Pennarossa
3–2
W
15 Feb
vs Tre Fiori
2–2
D
2.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tre Penne and Folgore.
Our pick is Tre Penne to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Tre Penne vs Folgore?
On our numbers Tre Penne have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Folgore 18%.
How many goals will there be in Tre Penne vs Folgore?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tre Penne vs Folgore?
Our predicted score is Tre Penne 2–0 Folgore, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tre Penne vs Folgore?
Tre Penne vs Folgore (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
