Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFolgore to win ✓67% · @1.36
Double chanceFolgore or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.24
Libertas vs Folgore preview and prediction
The match
Libertas host Folgore in the Campionato on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore. Libertas are 9th with 9 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Folgore sit 1st on 22 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.9 for Libertas and 2.2 for Folgore. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Libertas 16%, draw 18%, Folgore 67%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Folgore to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Libertas 0–2 Folgore. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Libertas16%fair 6.40 · @6.00
Draw18%fair 5.64 · @4.75
Folgore67%fair 1.50 · @1.36
3.07Expected goals
0.91Libertas xG
2.15Folgore xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Libertas 0.9 – 2.2 Folgore expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Folgore to win✓
67%
1.50
1.36
Double chance
Folgore or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Folgore ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Folgore / FT Folgore✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.24
–
Form
Libertas – last 2
DW
21 Feb
@ La Fiorita
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Faetano
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Folgore – last 2
WD
21 Feb
@ Pennarossa
3–2
W
15 Feb
vs Tre Fiori
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertas and Folgore.
Our pick is Folgore to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Libertas vs Folgore?
On our numbers Libertas have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Folgore 67%.
How many goals will there be in Libertas vs Folgore?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertas vs Folgore?
Our predicted score is Libertas 0–2 Folgore, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Libertas vs Folgore?
Libertas vs Folgore (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
