Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFolgore to win ✓65% · @1.34
Double chanceFolgore or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.01
Pennarossa vs Folgore preview and prediction
The match
Folgore travel to Campo Sportivo di Chiesanuova in the Campionato on Saturday 21 February (15:00 WAT) to face Pennarossa. Pennarossa are 13th with 5 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Folgore sit 1st on 22 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Pennarossa and 2.2 for Folgore. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Pennarossa 0–2 Folgore. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pennarossa12%fair 8.11 · @7.00
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @4.50
Folgore65%fair 1.55 · @1.34
3.04Expected goals
0.89Pennarossa xG
2.16Folgore xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Pennarossa 0.9 – 2.2 Folgore expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Folgore to win✓
65%
1.55
1.34
Double chance
Folgore or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Half-time result
Folgore ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Folgore / FT Folgore✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.01
–
Form
Pennarossa
No recent results on record.
Folgore – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Tre Fiori
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pennarossa and Folgore.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Pennarossa vs Folgore?
On our numbers Pennarossa have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Folgore 65%.
How many goals will there be in Pennarossa vs Folgore?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pennarossa vs Folgore?
Our predicted score is Pennarossa 0–2 Folgore, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Pennarossa vs Folgore?
Pennarossa vs Folgore (Campionato) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo di Chiesanuova.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
