Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVirtus to win ✓71% · @1.18
Double chanceVirtus or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✓13% · fair 7.49
Faetano vs Virtus preview and prediction
The match
The Campionato sees Faetano take on Virtus on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Campo Faetano. Faetano are 16th with 3 points from 8 games (in the bottom three), while Virtus sit 3rd on 19 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.7 for Faetano and 2.2 for Virtus. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 47% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Faetano 9%, draw 21%, Virtus 71%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Faetano 0–3 Virtus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Faetano9%fair 11.31 · @13.00
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @5.50
Virtus71%fair 1.42 · @1.18
2.91Expected goals
0.70Faetano xG
2.21Virtus xG
47%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–112%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Faetano 0.7 – 2.2 Virtus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus to win✓
71%
1.42
1.18
Double chance
Virtus or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Virtus ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus / FT Virtus✓
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✓
13%
7.49
–
Form
Faetano – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Libertas
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Virtus – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Fiorentino
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Faetano and Virtus.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Faetano vs Virtus?
On our numbers Faetano have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Virtus 71%.
How many goals will there be in Faetano vs Virtus?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Faetano vs Virtus?
Our predicted score is Faetano 0–3 Virtus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Faetano vs Virtus?
Faetano vs Virtus (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Faetano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
