Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.93 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.93Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChelsea W to win ✓70% · @1.18
Double chanceChelsea W or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.17
Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W preview and prediction
The match
The FA WSL sees Chelsea W take on Aston Villa W on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Kingsmeadow. Chelsea W are 2nd with 23 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Aston Villa W sit 9th on 10 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chelsea W's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Arsenal W 1–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aston Villa W's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Leicester City WFC 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Chelsea W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Chelsea W and 0.9 for Aston Villa W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chelsea W 70%, draw 16%, Aston Villa W 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.93, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chelsea W 2–1 Aston Villa W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chelsea W70%fair 1.43 · @1.18
Draw16%fair 6.08 · @5.90
Aston Villa W14%fair 7.28 · @13.50
3.19Expected goals
2.30Chelsea W xG
0.89Aston Villa W xG
58%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Chelsea W 2.3 – 0.9 Aston Villa W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea W to win✓
70%
1.43
1.18
Double chance
Chelsea W or draw✓
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Half-time result
Chelsea W ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelsea W / FT Chelsea W✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.17
–
Form
Chelsea W – last 5
LWWDW
24 Mar
@ Arsenal W
1–3
L
18 Mar
vs Brighton W
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Manchester United W
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Manchester United W
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Liverpool W
2–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Aston Villa W – last 3
WDL
22 Mar
@ Leicester City WFC
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Manchester City W
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Tottenham Hotspur W
3–7
L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelsea W and Aston Villa W.
What is the prediction for Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.93.
Who will win Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W?
On our numbers Chelsea W have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Aston Villa W 14%.
How many goals will there be in Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W?
Our predicted score is Chelsea W 2–1 Aston Villa W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W?
Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Kingsmeadow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leicester City WFC0