Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Thes Sport to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultThes Sport to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceThes Sport or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Thes Sport vs Tienen preview and prediction
The match
Tienen travel to Gemeentelijk Sportpark in the First Amateur Division on Friday 13 March (20:30 WAT) to face Thes Sport.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Thes Sport and 0.7 for Tienen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Thes Sport 64%, draw 23%, Tienen 12%.
Safer route: Thes Sport or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Thes Sport to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Thes Sport or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Thes Sport 1–0 Tienen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thes Sport64%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.25
Tienen12%fair 8.24 · @4.00
2.59Expected goals
1.89Thes Sport xG
0.70Tienen xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Thes Sport 1.9 – 0.7 Tienen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Thes Sport to win✗
64%
1.55
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Thes Sport or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Thes Sport ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Thes Sport / FT Thes Sport✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.65
–
Form
Thes Sport – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Cercle Brugge II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tienen – last 1
W
8 Mar
vs Merelbeke
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thes Sport and Tienen.
Our pick is Thes Sport or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Thes Sport vs Tienen?
On our numbers Thes Sport have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tienen 12%.
How many goals will there be in Thes Sport vs Tienen?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thes Sport vs Tienen?
Our predicted score is Thes Sport 1–0 Tienen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Thes Sport vs Tienen?
Thes Sport vs Tienen (First Amateur Division) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Gemeentelijk Sportpark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
