Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.51
NAPSA Stars vs Nkana preview and prediction
The match
Nkana travel to REIZ Arena in the Super League on Thursday 30 April (14:00 WAT) to face NAPSA Stars. NAPSA Stars are 6th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while Nkana sit 3rd on 0 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
NAPSA Stars's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with ZESCO United 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Nkana's last 4: WLDL Most recently they beat Mines 3–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Nkana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for NAPSA Stars and 0.9 for Nkana. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: NAPSA Stars 0–0 Nkana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NAPSA Stars38%fair 2.61 · @2.45
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.70
Nkana35%fair 2.89 · @3.00
1.81Expected goals
0.94NAPSA Stars xG
0.87Nkana xG
41%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–016%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: NAPSA Stars 0.9 – 0.9 Nkana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NAPSA Stars to win✗
38%
2.61
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.51
–
Form
NAPSA Stars – last 6
DLLLDL
23 Apr
@ ZESCO United
1–1
D
15 Apr
@ Nkwazi
1–2
L
1 Apr
@ Kansanshi Dynamos
2–3
L
19 Mar
vs Man Utd Zambia Academy
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Green Buffaloes
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Power Dynamos
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nkana – last 4
WLDL
15 Apr
vs Mines
3–1
W
1 Apr
vs Red Arrows
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ Mufulira Wanderers
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Kabwe Warriors
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NAPSA Stars and Nkana.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win NAPSA Stars vs Nkana?
On our numbers NAPSA Stars have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Nkana 35%.
How many goals will there be in NAPSA Stars vs Nkana?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NAPSA Stars vs Nkana?
Our predicted score is NAPSA Stars 0–0 Nkana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is NAPSA Stars vs Nkana?
NAPSA Stars vs Nkana (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at REIZ Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
