Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: ZESCO United to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZESCO United to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceZESCO United or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.61
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.88
ZESCO United vs NAPSA Stars preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees ZESCO United take on NAPSA Stars on Thursday 23 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium. ZESCO United are 1st with 0 points from 0 games (top of the table), while NAPSA Stars sit 6th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
ZESCO United's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Kansanshi Dynamos 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
NAPSA Stars's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Nkwazi 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
ZESCO United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for ZESCO United and 0.5 for NAPSA Stars. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: ZESCO United 62%, draw 23%, NAPSA Stars 16%.
Value angle: ZESCO United to win at 1.80 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: ZESCO United 1–0 NAPSA Stars. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ZESCO United62%fair 1.62 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
NAPSA Stars16%fair 6.39 · @4.50
1.94Expected goals
1.42ZESCO United xG
0.52NAPSA Stars xG
38%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: ZESCO United 1.4 – 0.5 NAPSA Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ZESCO United to win✗
62%
1.62
1.80 ▲
Double chance
ZESCO United or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ZESCO United / FT ZESCO United✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.88
–
Form
ZESCO United – last 6
WWLLLW
16 Apr
@ Kansanshi Dynamos
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs Green Buffaloes
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Power Dynamos
2–3
L
26 Feb
@ Konkola Blades
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Mufulira Wanderers
1–2
L
19 Feb
@ Zanaco
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
NAPSA Stars – last 6
LLLDLL
15 Apr
@ Nkwazi
1–2
L
1 Apr
@ Kansanshi Dynamos
2–3
L
19 Mar
vs Man Utd Zambia Academy
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Green Buffaloes
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Power Dynamos
1–3
L
15 Feb
@ Red Arrows
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ZESCO United and NAPSA Stars.
What is the prediction for ZESCO United vs NAPSA Stars?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win ZESCO United vs NAPSA Stars?
On our numbers ZESCO United have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and NAPSA Stars 16%.
How many goals will there be in ZESCO United vs NAPSA Stars?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ZESCO United vs NAPSA Stars?
Our predicted score is ZESCO United 1–0 NAPSA Stars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is ZESCO United vs NAPSA Stars?
ZESCO United vs NAPSA Stars (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
