AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
AF Elbasani or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: AF Elbasani to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAF Elbasani to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceAF Elbasani or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.84
AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë preview and prediction
The match
The Superliga sees AF Elbasani take on Egnatia Rrogozhinë on Friday 20 March, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Elbasan Arena. AF Elbasani are 6th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Egnatia Rrogozhinë sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
AF Elbasani's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Tirana 1–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë's last 4: DWDW Most recently they drew with Vllaznia Shkodër 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for AF Elbasani and 0.7 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 39%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AF Elbasani 62%, draw 20%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 18%.
Safer route: AF Elbasani or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Value angle: AF Elbasani to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AF Elbasani or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: AF Elbasani 1–0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AF Elbasani62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.20
Egnatia Rrogozhinë18%fair 5.51 · @3.60
2.21Expected goals
1.56AF Elbasani xG
0.65Egnatia Rrogozhinë xG
39%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: AF Elbasani 1.6 – 0.7 Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AF Elbasani to win✗
62%
1.62
1.91 ▲
Double chance
AF Elbasani or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AF Elbasani / FT AF Elbasani✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.84
–
Form
AF Elbasani – last 4
WWWL
8 Mar
@ Tirana
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Partizani
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Vora
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Vllaznia Shkodër
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Egnatia Rrogozhinë – last 4
DWDW
13 Mar
vs Vllaznia Shkodër
0–0
D
9 Mar
vs Teuta Durrës
4–2
W
4 Mar
vs Teuta Durrës
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Dinamo Tirana
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AF Elbasani and Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
What is the prediction for AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our pick is AF Elbasani or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
On our numbers AF Elbasani have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 18%.
How many goals will there be in AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our predicted score is AF Elbasani 1–0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë (Superliga) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Elbasan Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
