Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPogradeci to win ✓66% · @1.36
Double chancePogradeci or draw ✓89% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.19
Pogradeci vs Burreli preview and prediction
The match
Burreli travel to Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku in the 1st Division on Sunday 15 February (13:30 WAT) to face Pogradeci. Pogradeci are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Burreli sit 10th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Pogradeci and 0.6 for Burreli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 40%.
Our pre-match pick was Pogradeci to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Pogradeci 1–0 Burreli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogradeci66%fair 1.52 · @1.36
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.00
Burreli11%fair 8.81 · @7.50
2.42Expected goals
1.81Pogradeci xG
0.61Burreli xG
40%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Pogradeci 1.8 – 0.6 Burreli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✓
66%
1.52
1.36
Double chance
Pogradeci or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Pogradeci ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.19
–
Form
Pogradeci
No recent results on record.
Burreli
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogradeci and Burreli.
Our pick is Pogradeci to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Burreli?
On our numbers Pogradeci have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Burreli 11%.
How many goals will there be in Pogradeci vs Burreli?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogradeci vs Burreli?
Our predicted score is Pogradeci 1–0 Burreli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Pogradeci vs Burreli?
Pogradeci vs Burreli (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadiumi Gjorgji Kyçyku.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lushnja1