Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTatabánya to win ✓65% · @1.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Tatabánya vs Pápai Perutz preview and prediction
The match
Tatabánya host Pápai Perutz in the NB III Northwest on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Grosics Gyula Stadion. Tatabánya are 2nd with 34 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Pápai Perutz sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tatabánya's last 4: DWWW Most recently they drew with Haladás VSE 1–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Pápai Perutz's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Gyirmot SE 0–4 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Tatabánya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Tatabánya and 1.1 for Pápai Perutz. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tatabánya 65%, draw 16%, Pápai Perutz 18%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Tatabánya 2–1 Pápai Perutz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tatabánya65%fair 1.53 · @1.36
Draw16%fair 6.06 · @4.75
Pápai Perutz18%fair 5.53 · @6.00
3.45Expected goals
2.33Tatabánya xG
1.12Pápai Perutz xG
53%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–17%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Tatabánya 2.3 – 1.1 Pápai Perutz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tatabánya to win✓
65%
1.53
1.36
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Tatabánya ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tatabánya / FT Tatabánya✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Form
Tatabánya – last 4
DWWW
22 Mar
vs Haladás VSE
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Újpest II
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Budaörs
3–2
W
1 Mar
@ Puskás II
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pápai Perutz – last 3
LWL
29 Mar
vs Gyirmot SE
0–4
L
22 Mar
@ Gyori ETO II
3–2
W
1 Mar
vs Veszprém
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tatabánya and Pápai Perutz.
What is the prediction for Tatabánya vs Pápai Perutz?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Tatabánya vs Pápai Perutz?
On our numbers Tatabánya have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Pápai Perutz 18%.
How many goals will there be in Tatabánya vs Pápai Perutz?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tatabánya vs Pápai Perutz?
Our predicted score is Tatabánya 2–1 Pápai Perutz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Tatabánya vs Pápai Perutz?
Tatabánya vs Pápai Perutz (NB III Northwest) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Grosics Gyula Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
