Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Sintrense to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSintrense to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.24
FC Serpa vs Sintrense preview and prediction
The match
The Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D sees FC Serpa take on Sintrense on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Campo Sintético Complexo Desportivo Manuel Baião.
Form guide
FC Serpa's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Portimonense B 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sintrense's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with Alcochetense 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for FC Serpa and 1.1 for Sintrense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Serpa 37%, draw 24%, Sintrense 38%.
Value angle: Sintrense to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: FC Serpa 1–1 Sintrense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Serpa37%fair 2.67 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Sintrense38%fair 2.60 · @2.80
2.23Expected goals
1.10FC Serpa xG
1.12Sintrense xG
45%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: FC Serpa 1.1 – 1.1 Sintrense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sintrense to win✗
38%
2.60
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sintrense / FT Sintrense✗
20%
4.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.24
–
Form
FC Serpa – last 3
DWD
1 Mar
@ Portimonense B
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Atlético Malveira
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sintrense – last 3
DDW
1 Mar
vs Alcochetense
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Oriental Lisboa
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs FC Alverca II
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Serpa and Sintrense.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win FC Serpa vs Sintrense?
On our numbers FC Serpa have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sintrense 38%.
How many goals will there be in FC Serpa vs Sintrense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Serpa vs Sintrense?
Our predicted score is FC Serpa 1–1 Sintrense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is FC Serpa vs Sintrense?
FC Serpa vs Sintrense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sintético Complexo Desportivo Manuel Baião.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
