Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPeniche to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.87
Samora Correir vs Peniche preview and prediction
The match
Peniche travel to Complexo Desportivo Da Murteira in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C on Sunday 29 March (15:00 WAT) to face Samora Correir.
Form guide
Samora Correir's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Os Marialvas 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Peniche's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Eléctrico 2–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Samora Correir arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Samora Correir and 1.3 for Peniche. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 44%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Samora Correir 1–1 Peniche. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Samora Correir33%fair 3.00 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Peniche45%fair 2.25 · @2.20
2.29Expected goals
1.03Samora Correir xG
1.26Peniche xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Samora Correir 1.0 – 1.3 Peniche expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Peniche to win✗
45%
2.25
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Peniche / FT Peniche✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.87
–
Form
Samora Correir – last 5
LLWDW
15 Mar
vs Os Marialvas
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Naval 1893
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Mortágua
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Fátima
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Lajense
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Peniche – last 3
LLL
22 Mar
@ Eléctrico
2–4
L
15 Mar
vs Vitória de Sernache
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Mortágua
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Samora Correir and Peniche.
What is the prediction for Samora Correir vs Peniche?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Samora Correir vs Peniche?
On our numbers Samora Correir have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Peniche 45%.
How many goals will there be in Samora Correir vs Peniche?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samora Correir vs Peniche?
Our predicted score is Samora Correir 1–1 Peniche, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Samora Correir vs Peniche?
Samora Correir vs Peniche (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Complexo Desportivo Da Murteira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
