Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCeloricense to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceCeloricense or draw ✓81% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.64
Celoricense vs Tirsense preview and prediction
The match
Tirsense travel to Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A on Sunday 8 March (16:00 WAT) to face Celoricense. Celoricense are 7th with 12 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Tirsense sit 4th on 15 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Celoricense's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Chaves II 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Tirsense's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat Vilaverdense 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Celoricense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Celoricense and 0.8 for Tirsense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 43%.
Our pre-match pick was Celoricense to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Celoricense 1–0 Tirsense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celoricense59%fair 1.68 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.20
Tirsense19%fair 5.16 · @3.60
2.37Expected goals
1.61Celoricense xG
0.76Tirsense xG
43%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Celoricense 1.6 – 0.8 Tirsense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celoricense to win✗
59%
1.68
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Celoricense or draw✓
81%
1.24
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celoricense / FT Celoricense✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.64
–
Form
Celoricense – last 3
WDW
1 Mar
@ Chaves II
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Os Limianos
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Monção
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tirsense – last 3
WDD
1 Mar
vs Vilaverdense
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Camacha
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Machico
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celoricense and Tirsense.
What is the prediction for Celoricense vs Tirsense?
Our pick is Celoricense to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Celoricense vs Tirsense?
On our numbers Celoricense have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tirsense 19%.
How many goals will there be in Celoricense vs Tirsense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celoricense vs Tirsense?
Our predicted score is Celoricense 1–0 Tirsense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Celoricense vs Tirsense?
Celoricense vs Tirsense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Celorico de Basto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mirandela0
Vilaverdense0
Vianense2