Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Star Starachowice to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultStar Starachowice to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska preview and prediction
The match
Podlasie Biała Podlaska travel to Stadion Miejski in the III Liga Group 4 on Saturday 23 May (16:00 WAT) to face Star Starachowice. Star Starachowice are 9th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Podlasie Biała Podlaska sit 16th on 13 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Star Starachowice's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Avia Świdnik 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Podlasie Biała Podlaska's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Sparta KW 5–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Podlasie Biała Podlaska arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Star Starachowice and 1.1 for Podlasie Biała Podlaska. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Star Starachowice to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Star Starachowice 2–1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Star Starachowice61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw16%fair 6.25 · @3.70
Podlasie Biała Podlaska23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
3.00Expected goals
1.95Star Starachowice xG
1.06Podlasie Biała Podlaska xG
50%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Star Starachowice 1.9 – 1.1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Star Starachowice to win✗
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Star Starachowice ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Star Starachowice / FT Star Starachowice✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Star Starachowice – last 6
DLWWDL
13 May
vs Avia Świdnik
1–1
D
9 May
@ Chełmianka Chełm
2–5
L
1 May
vs Naprzód
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ Sokół Kolb.
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Wisłoka Dębica
0–0
D
2 Apr
@ Korona Kielce II
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Podlasie Biała Podlaska – last 5
WWWLD
13 May
@ Sparta KW
5–0
W
8 May
vs Świdniczanka Świdnik
3–0
W
3 May
@ Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
3–1
W
3 Apr
@ KSZO 1929
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Naprzód
4–4
D
3.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Star Starachowice and Podlasie Biała Podlaska.
What is the prediction for Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
Our pick is Star Starachowice to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
On our numbers Star Starachowice have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Podlasie Biała Podlaska 23%.
How many goals will there be in Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
Our predicted score is Star Starachowice 2–1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.