Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Połaniec prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Czarni Połaniec to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKorona Kielce II to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.77
Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Połaniec preview and prediction
The match
Korona Kielce II host Czarni Połaniec in the III Liga Group 4 on Friday 22 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Korona. Korona Kielce II are 15th with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Czarni Połaniec sit 6th on 28 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Korona Kielce II's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Wisłoka Dębica 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Czarni Połaniec's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Sokół Kolb. 1–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Korona Kielce II and 1.6 for Czarni Połaniec. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Korona Kielce II 41%, draw 21%, Czarni Połaniec 38%.
Value angle: Czarni Połaniec to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Korona Kielce II 2–1 Czarni Połaniec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Korona Kielce II41%fair 2.44 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Czarni Połaniec38%fair 2.65 · @3.00
3.27Expected goals
1.67Korona Kielce II xG
1.60Czarni Połaniec xG
53%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Korona Kielce II 1.7 – 1.6 Czarni Połaniec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Korona Kielce II to win✓
41%
2.44
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Korona Kielce II / FT Korona Kielce II✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.77
–
Form
Korona Kielce II – last 6
WWWWLL
13 May
vs Wisłoka Dębica
1–0
W
1 May
@ Wisła Kraków II
3–2
W
17 Apr
vs Naprzód
3–2
W
2 Apr
vs Star Starachowice
3–2
W
28 Mar
vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Cracovia Kraków II
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Czarni Połaniec – last 6
LWWWLW
13 May
@ Sokół Kolb.
1–2
L
1 May
@ Świdniczanka Świdnik
4–1
W
28 Mar
vs Wisła Kraków II
1–0
W
25 Mar
@ Naprzód
1–0
W
14 Mar
vs KSZO 1929
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Sokół Kolb.
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korona Kielce II and Czarni Połaniec.
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Połaniec?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Połaniec?
On our numbers Korona Kielce II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Czarni Połaniec 38%.
How many goals will there be in Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Połaniec?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Połaniec?
Our predicted score is Korona Kielce II 2–1 Czarni Połaniec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Połaniec?
Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Połaniec (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Korona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
