Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Połaniec prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Siarka Tarnobrzeg to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.75
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSiarka Tarnobrzeg to win60% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.08
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Połaniec preview and prediction
The match
Czarni Połaniec travel to Stadion OSiR Wisła in the III Liga Group 4 on Saturday 18 April (16:00 WAT) to face Siarka Tarnobrzeg. Siarka Tarnobrzeg are 10th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Czarni Połaniec sit 6th on 28 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Siarka Tarnobrzeg's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Wisłoka Dębica 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Czarni Połaniec's last 4: WWLW Most recently they beat Wisła Kraków II 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Czarni Połaniec arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Siarka Tarnobrzeg and 1.1 for Czarni Połaniec. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Siarka Tarnobrzeg to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2–1 Czarni Połaniec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Siarka Tarnobrzeg60%fair 1.65 · @1.75
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @3.80
Czarni Połaniec21%fair 4.70 · @3.60
3.11Expected goals
2.02Siarka Tarnobrzeg xG
1.09Czarni Połaniec xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2.0 – 1.1 Czarni Połaniec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Siarka Tarnobrzeg to win
60%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Siarka Tarnobrzeg ahead at half-time
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Siarka Tarnobrzeg / FT Siarka Tarnobrzeg
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.08
–
Form
Siarka Tarnobrzeg – last 3
DWL
4 Apr
vs Wisłoka Dębica
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Korona Kielce II
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Wisłoka Dębica
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Czarni Połaniec – last 4
WWLW
28 Mar
vs Wisła Kraków II
1–0
W
25 Mar
@ Naprzód
1–0
W
14 Mar
vs KSZO 1929
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Sokół Kolb.
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Siarka Tarnobrzeg and Czarni Połaniec.
What is the prediction for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Połaniec?
Our pick is Siarka Tarnobrzeg to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Połaniec?
On our numbers Siarka Tarnobrzeg have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Czarni Połaniec 21%.
How many goals will there be in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Połaniec?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Połaniec?
Our predicted score is Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2–1 Czarni Połaniec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Połaniec?
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Połaniec (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion OSiR Wisła.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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