Avia Świdnik vs Chełmianka Chełm prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.60
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Chełmianka Chełm to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAvia Świdnik to win42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.48
Avia Świdnik vs Chełmianka Chełm preview and prediction
The match
The III Liga Group 4 sees Avia Świdnik take on Chełmianka Chełm on Saturday 4 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadion Świdnik.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Avia Świdnik and 1.5 for Chełmianka Chełm. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Chełmianka Chełm to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Avia Świdnik 2–1 Chełmianka Chełm. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avia Świdnik42%fair 2.37 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Chełmianka Chełm36%fair 2.74 · @3.00
3.14Expected goals
1.64Avia Świdnik xG
1.51Chełmianka Chełm xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Avia Świdnik 1.6 – 1.5 Chełmianka Chełm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avia Świdnik to win
42%
2.37
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avia Świdnik / FT Avia Świdnik
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.48
–
Form
Avia Świdnik – last 2
WD
8 Mar
@ Sparta KW
6–0
W
5 Mar
vs Raków Częstochowa
1–1
D
3.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chełmianka Chełm – last 2
WW
14 Mar
vs Stal Kraśnik
4–1
W
28 Feb
vs Wisła Kraków II
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avia Świdnik and Chełmianka Chełm.
What is the prediction for Avia Świdnik vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Avia Świdnik vs Chełmianka Chełm?
On our numbers Avia Świdnik have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chełmianka Chełm 36%.
How many goals will there be in Avia Świdnik vs Chełmianka Chełm?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avia Świdnik vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Our predicted score is Avia Świdnik 2–1 Chełmianka Chełm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Avia Świdnik vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Avia Świdnik vs Chełmianka Chełm (III Liga Group 4) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Świdnik.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.